No Surprises

No Surprises The Fed meeting in Jackson Hole continues as this is written, but Chair Powell’s comments on Friday morning, the ‘highlight’ of the confab, were no surprise. Chair Powell reiterated that the inflation target is 2%, not 3% as some on Wall St. have speculated, and with rates at or near restrictive territory, any […]
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Making Ends Meet

Making Ends Meet Many market pundits are predicting that inflation will stabilize at a higher rate than the 2% Fed target. The rationale is that as inflation comes down, the Fed does not want to force inflation to 2% and risk a bad recession. As a result, Inflation is more likely to level off around […]
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China Syndrome

The China Syndrome The economic news out of China is going from bad to worse. The world continues to bet on massive government stimulus, but it never seems to happen. Could a melt-down be coming? (For you non-movie buffs, China Syndrome is a 1979 movie about a nuclear meltdown, that amazingly was released a mere […]
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Bloomberg Interview – Where is The Recession? | August 9, 2023

Where is The Recession? | Bloomberg Interview On August 9th 2023 I was invited on to Bloomberg where I discussed how the market has performed in 2023 so far and where I think it is heading. One question I wonder about is why a recession hasn’t happened yet? Why was the 2023 recession delayed? We […]
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Shot Across the Bow

Shot Across the Bow In his 2021 annual letter to investors, Buffett stated “In its brief 232 years of existence … there has been no incubator for unleashing human potential like America. Despite some severe interruptions, our country’s economic progress has been breathtaking. Our unwavering conclusion: Never bet against America.” Of course, he will be […]
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Promised Land

Promised Land It was quiet, too quiet. The lead up to this week’s Fed interest rate announcement was downright boring. After months and months of agita every time the Fed got together to talk about interest rates, this time there was little doubt about what would happen or what the Fed would say. The assumption […]
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That’s A Lot of Manure

That’s A Lot of Manure Economic history is full of roadblocks, things that appear impossible to overcome, until some technological advance comes along and changes the dynamics completely. Railroads changed U.S. transportation in the late 1800’s, fertilizers changed our ability to feed a growing global population. Even the automobile, now the bane of environmentalists, was […]
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