This is Not the Recession You are Looking For Q1 preliminary GDP estimate shocks at -1.4%, vs. expectations of about +1.0% We have been saying growth is decelerating, but Q1 is not as bad as it first appears PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) have reverted to pre-pandemic levels The pandemic recovery continues to make data twitchy […]
CPI Hits 7.5% – What It Means to Us… Headline CPI for January surprised on the upside registering 7.5% vs. expectations of 7.3%. What makes it more of a surprise is that the day before, the ‘whisper number’ was that CPI would come in below expectations. The cause of the higher number is a scheduled […]