Canary in the Coal Mine? | April 9, 2022

Canary in the Coal Mine? Stories about trucker shortages remain common. Truckers move almost about 73% of all freight in the U.S. Anecdotal evidence suggests that demand for trucking services is rapidly waning. Are trucking companies the canary in the U.S. economic coal mine? Like most people that follow financial markets, we follow economic data […]
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The Taper is Finally Here and Markets Did Not Panic | November 6, 2021

The Taper is Finally Here and Markets Did Not Panic. Tapering simply means that the Fed will reduce, and eventually eliminate, the extraordinary accommodation supplied to financial markets since the beginning of the pandemic. That accommodation was in the form of open market purchases of both Treasury bonds and mortgage backed bonds (known as QE […]
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Waiting for Godot | September 11, 2021

Waiting for Godot If you’ve been waiting for a correction, it’s been like waiting for Godot. The statistic of the week was that we have not had a 5% correction since last October. If that holds up for the rest of the year, it will only be the third time that has happened since 1980. […]
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Commitment | May 22, 2021

Commitment In a bacon and egg sandwich, the difference between the chicken and the pig is that the chicken was involved, but the pig was committed. Successful long-term investing requires commitment, not involvement. Market corrections, both minor and serious, occur with regularity. Following time-tested investment principles allows reason to rule over emotion. During difficult weeks […]
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Stocks Remain A Prisoner of Interest Rates | March 27, 2021

Stocks Remain A Prisoner of Interest Rates The stock market is following the bond market like a puppy. Rates down? Buy growth stocks. Rates up? Buy reflation stocks. U.S. growth estimates are rising, but they are falling in other developed markets. Unless something changes, rates are probably going nowhere. The economic experience in the U.S. […]
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